Muhammad Arif Goheer

Job Title

Name of Organization

Primary Email

Head - Agriculture, Forestry & Land Use

Global Change Impact Studies Centre (GCISC)

Brief Biography

Arif Goheer – an Agronomist/Agro-Climatologist, working as a Principal Scientist and is currently leading the Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use and Coordination program at Global Change Impact Studies Centre (GCISC- a dedicated research institute for climate change studies and serving as the research arm of the Ministry of Climate Change), Islamabad. Assessing the impacts of climate variability and change on agricultural systems using crop simulation and water management modeling approaches, devising adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate smart agriculture; compilation of Greenhouse Gas Inventories for AFOLU sector, Development of MRV Framework; CC communications and science – policy linkages are his prime

Field of Interests

Climate Change and Food & Water Security; Crop Growth Simulation Modeling; Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use; Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Agricultural Systems; Food-water-energy nexus; Development of Greenhouse Gas Inventories pertaining to Agriculture, Forestry & Land Use; Natural Resources Management; Clean Development Mechanism and REDD +; Climate Change Communications; Science-Policy Linkages.

Fields of Expertise

Current Research Projects

GIZ-CITEPA-GCISC (2021) Project on Strengthening Adaptation Tracking Mechanism for Agriculture and Food security in Pakistan; GIZ-CITEPA_GCISC (2021) Project on Establishment of MRV for GHG/ Mitigation system in Pakistan Enerdata-AFD-GCISC (2020) Project on GHG emissions and scenarios building for Agriculture and Energy Sectors for Pakistan; Pak-BUR1 (2019). “Pakistan’s first Biennial Update Report on climate change project” under United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) by MoCC, Gov. of Pakistan. Contributing to GCF Project on Transforming the Indus Basin with Climate resilient agriculture and water management, (a 47M US $ project) recently approved by GCF; Pak-SNC (2018). “Pakistan’s Second National Communication (Pak-SNC) on climate change project” under UNFCCC by Ministry of Climate Change (MoCC), Government of Pakistan; APN project “Towards robust projections of climate extremes & adaptation plans over SA. APN project “Climate smart agriculture through sustainable water use management: Exploring new approaches and devising strategies for climate change adaptation in South Asia R-SMOG (2018). TCP) Project between FAO and GCISC, MOCC on “Remote sensing for Spatio-temporal mapping of smog in Punjab and identification of the underlying causes using GIS techniques (R-SMOG)”; FAO (2017/18): Development of Food Security and Nutrition Information System (FSNIS)/Food Security Monitoring System (FSMS) for Pakistan; FAO (2017/18): Transformation of the Indus Basin with the Introduction of Climate Resilient Agriculture and Sustainable Water Management; UNEP Project on Preparation of Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC-2016) to the 2015 Agreement under the UNFCCC Climate Change (GFL-5070-2724-4F36-2207);

Key Publications

  • Hassan, S., M. A. Goheer (2021) Modeling and Monitoring Wheat Crop Yield Using Geospatial Techniques: A Case Study of Potohar Region, Pakistan. Journal of Indian Society of Remote Sensing DOI: 10.1007/s12524-020-01290-6
  • Ali, A., Khan, M.A., Ashraf, M.I., Goheer, M.A. 2021. Economic valuation of ecosystem services in alpine pastures of Western Himalayas: A case study of Kaghan Valley. Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Agricultural Sciences Pak. J. Bot., 53(5): DOI:
  • Gilani, H., M.A. Goheer, H. Ahmad, K. Hussain (2020). Under predicted climate change: Distribution and ecological niche modelling of six native tree species in Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan, Ecological Indicators 111,
  • Ijaz, M. and M. A. Goheer (2020). Emission profile of Pakistan’s agriculture: past trends and future projections. Environ Dev Sustain 23, 1668–1687 (2020).
  • Amin, M., M. R, Khan., S.S. Hasan., A.A. Khan, M. Imran, M. A. Goheer, S. M, Hina., and A. Perveen.2020. Monitoring agricultural drought using geospatial techniques: a case study of Thal region of Punjab, Pakistan, Journal of Water and Climate Change (2020) 11 (S1): 203–216.
  • Ali, S., Khalid, B., Kiani, R. S., Babar, R., Nasir, S., Rehman, N., Adnan, M., & Goheer, M. A. (2019). Spatio Temporal Variability of Summer Monsoon Onset over Pakistan. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 1-26.
  • Hassan, S. S., Ajmal, M., Khan, A. A., Goheer, M. A., Khattak, M. S., Ali, S., Ijaz, M., & Adnan, M. (2019). Multi‐criteria decision analysis for flood risk on the Chenab River. Weather, 74(1), 65-75.
  • Amin, M., Khan, A. A., Perveen, A., Rauf, Z., Hassan, S. S., Goheer, M. A., & Ijaz, M. (2019). Drought risk assessment: a case study in Punjab, Pakistan. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 35(1), 234-243.
  • Khan, A. A., Ijaz, M., Muhammad, J., Goheer, A. R., Akbar, G., & Adnan, M. (2016). Climate Change Implications for Wheat Crop in Dera Ismail Khan District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Pak J. of Meteorology, 13(25), 17-27.
  • Aamer, M., Goheer, M, A., & Nasim, M. (2015). Distribution and Indexation of Plant Available Nutrients of Soils in the District Bahawalpur, Pakistan. Journal of Biology, Agriculture & Healthcare, 5 (21), 23-30.
  • Zhu, T., H. Xie, A. Waqas. C. Ringler, M. Mohsin Iqbal, M. Arif Goheer and T. Sulser. 2014. Climate Change and Extreme Events: Impacts on Pakistan’s Agriculture. Policy Note 002, Pakistan Strategy Support Programme and International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), USA.
  • Tingju Zhu, Claudia Ringler , M. Mohsin Iqbal , Timothy B. Sulser and M. Arif Goheer. 2013. Climate change impacts and adaptation options for water and food in Pakistan: scenario analysis using an integrated global water and food projections model. Water International, Vol. 38, No. 5, 651–669,
  • Iqbal, M. M., M. A. Goheer, N. Shaheen and M. Ijaz. 2013. Plants-People-Climate Nexus: From Sustenance to Sustainability. Proceedings of International Conference on ‘Plants, People and Climate’, November, 2013, Pakistan Council of Science & Technology (PCST), Islamabad.
  • Ijaz, M., M. A. Goheer and M. M. Iqbal. 2013. Impact of Climate Change on Wheat yield in Pakistan. Proceedings of APN Regional Workshop on ‘Final Research Results ‘, 15-18 January, 2013; Rawalpindi.
  • Ijaz, M and M. A. Goheer. 2012. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Wheat under Climate Change by Combined Use of Crop Simulation Modeling and Remote Sensing Techniques, Proceedings of ISNET/CSE Workshop on Applications of Space Technology for Food Security, 09-14 July, 2012, Daker, Senegal.
  • Goheer, M. A. and M. Ijaz. 2012. Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Productivity under different Agro-Ecological Conditions of Pakistan: Crop Simulation Modeling Approach. Proc. of Int. Con. on Climate Change: Opportunities & Challenges, 09-11 May, 2012, Islamabad, Pakistan.
  • Goheer, M. A., M. Ijaz, N. Shaheen and M. M. Iqbal. 2011. Vulnerability of Cereal Crops Production to Climate Change in Pakistan: A Crop Simulation Modeling Perspective. Proceedings of SAARC Int. Workshop on Science & Technology Issues on Climate Change, March 21-22, 2011, Islamabad, Pakistan.
  • Punyawardena, B.V.R. S. Mehmood, A.K.Hettiarachchi, M.Iqbal, AS.H.S.A. De Silva and M. A. Goheer, 2012. Future climate of Sri Lanka: An approach through dynamic downscaling of ECHAM4 General Circulation Model (GCM). Tropical Agriculturist 161: 35-50

Postal Address

Global Change Impact Studies Centre (GCISC), 6th Floor, Emigration Tower, 10-Mauve Area, G-8/1, Islamabad-44000, Pakistan.

Phone Number

+92-51-9262715, Fax +92-51-9262722

(c) CIRDAP – all rights reserved

(c) CIRDAP – all rights reserved